Analytics
Yes is at 69%, down 4 points from 73% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 80% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 69.5% on 21 Oct 2026. The current quote, 69%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 70% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 80%. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 80% on 16 Oct 2026.
It is one of 20 markets under “What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?”.
$5.14 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $297.22, with a 20.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is UpTheStairs with 5 shares; the largest No position is Likely-Midnight with 5.
Trading closes on 28 Oct 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 65%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 73.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 70.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheStairs | Yes | 5.14 |
| Likely-Midnight | No | 5.14 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-october-press-conference
8 more markets, none above 28.0%.
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