Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 74.5%. Yes opened at 77.5% on 22 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2026 to 28 Jul 2026, the highest close was 78.5% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 72.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 72.5% on 24 Jul 2026. $23.18K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 8:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 22 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | 77.5% |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 74.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | No | 2K |
| Umaroth | No | 600 |
| AMAM13 | No | 596.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on July 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such statement by Warsh happens by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-july-press-conference-20260720204109027
| No |
| 328.71 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | No | 156.55 |
| puravida | No | 150 |
| LS-ship | No | 150 |
| lissartter | No | 103.47 |
| J25525 | No | 101.73 |
| runechiters | No | 100 |
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