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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.27K | $0.613 | $1.89K | -$111.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.560 | $392 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.04K |
| $0.646 |
| $1.62K |
| +$303.28 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 2K | $0.746 | $1.55K | +$58.75 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 3.68K | $0.521 | $1.53K | -$389.97 |
 Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 2.05K | $0.296 | $563.61 | -$42.79 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | Yes | 2K | $0.440 | $510 | -$370 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 700 | $0.560 | $395.5 | +$3.5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 1.78K | $0.463 | $391.3 | -$432.23 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 513.49 | $0.590 | $302.96 | $0 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 650 | $0.441 | $260 | -$26.94 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | 1.22K | $0.336 | $189.26 | -$220.58 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 5.97 | $0.630 | $5.4 | +$1.64 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.200 | $0.03 | -$0.3 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.500 |
| $5 |
| 2h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 300 | $0.620 | $186 | 4h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 650 | $0.441 | $286.94 | 19h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 308.88 | $0.730 | $225.48 | 19h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.680 | $407.99 | 1d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | sell | 1.2K | $0.262 | $314.89 | 3d ago |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.11K | $0.162 | $503.09 | 9d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.060 | $108 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.37K | $0.180 | $426.47 | 24d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.435 | $174.01 | 26d ago |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?Yes | sell | 489.36 | $0.890 | $435.53 | 26d ago |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31No | sell | 181.81 | $0.860 | $156.36 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?No | sell | 600 | $0.331 | $198.35 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 1K | $0.465 | $465.39 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 400 | $0.629 | $251.74 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?Yes | buy | 380 | $0.200 | $76 | 28d ago |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | sell | 151.5 | $0.210 | $31.81 | 29d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 11, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.695 | $208.6 | 29d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.12K | $0.600 | $672.89 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.320 | $320 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | sell | 571.41 | $0.612 | $349.56 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 79.53 | $0.630 | $50.1 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | sell | 460 | $0.380 | $174.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?No | buy | 460 | $0.330 | $151.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.430 | $4.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 7.96K | $0.080 | $636.55 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.520 | $520.36 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | sell | 319 | $0.001 | $0.32 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | sell | 800 | $0.999 | $799.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 886.13 | $0.330 | $292.42 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No | buy | 600 | $0.982 | $589.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.948 | $568.97 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes | buy | 580.51 | $0.820 | $476.02 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.247 | $7.41 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.963 | $963 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | sell | 5.74 | $0.230 | $1.32 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 27.5 | $0.400 | $11 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.620 | $310 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 498.55 | $0.360 | $179.48 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | sell | 500 | $0.653 | $326.45 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 202.8 | $0.120 | $24.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 258.43 | $0.260 | $67.19 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.090 | $186.16 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 712.16 | $0.012 | $8.55 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.69K | $0.300 | $1.41K | Jul 15, 2026 |