Analytics
Yes is at 36.9%, up 23 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 255 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.7% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 15 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.3%; a month before, 37%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points up, to 45.9% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$150 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.6K since listing. The order book holds $177.11, with a 71.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $12.63 bought Yes and $622.17 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 393 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654. Ten wallets hold 95% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 255 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 13.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 36.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 393.39 |
| panzerdragoon | No | 318.06 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 129 |
| plsnolose | Yes | 109.85 |
| 86fgh | Yes | 83.91 |
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| MartinaCandombe | Yes | 58.33 |
| daroghi | Yes | 30 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 22.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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