Analytics
Yes is at 26.2%, up 11 points from 15% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 230 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (41 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 4.3% on 28 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.9%; a month before, 46.5%. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 5.2% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$7.38K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $190.44, with a 41.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 72 trades, $58.1 bought Yes and $271.1 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Solar Maven E42B with 240 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654. Ten wallets hold 95.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 230 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 15.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 26.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| Solar Maven E42B | Yes | 240.3 |
| spacegliderr | Yes | 105 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 56.32 |
| Sourcexbt | Yes | 50 |
| statham.42069 | Yes | 43.64 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 38.65 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 17.89 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 14.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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