Analytics
Yes is at 9.5%, down 17 points from 26.5% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 234 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (37 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 5% on 3 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10%; a month before, 44%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 5% on 3 Jul 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$683.21 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $266.27, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 41 trades, $27.44 bought Yes and $229.54 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 187 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654. Ten wallets hold 93.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 9.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 186.57 |
| chaosj88 | Yes | 77.9 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 72 |
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| ProfitMuhammedPBUH | Yes | 35 |
| Indigo Oracle 1400 | Yes | 33.78 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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