Analytics
Yes is at 8.3%, down 5.2 points from 13.5% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 245 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (26 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 16 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 19.9%; a month before, 42.1%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 4.6% on 6 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$923.96 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $255.95, with a 15.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 48 trades, $12.17 bought Yes and $222.81 bought No.
The largest Yes position is 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. with 150 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654. Ten wallets hold 93.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 13.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 150 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 124.14 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| Mindless-Degradation | Yes | 54.05 |
| statham.42069 | Yes | 51.41 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 32 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 29.21 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
