Analytics
Yes is at 41.3%, up 28 points from 13% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 234 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (36 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.8% on 30 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 29 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 33.4%; a month before, 42.4%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 38.9% on 18 Jul 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$1.34K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $187.65, with a 80.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 59 trades, $19.81 bought Yes and $440.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 404 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 234 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 13.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 39.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 403.77 |
| panzerdragoon | No | 107.26 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| 86fgh | Yes | 97.02 |
| 13klklas | Yes | 96.3 |
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| Organic-Mandolin | Yes | 54.76 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 32 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9.18 |
| 3-mil-on-tour | Yes | 6 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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