Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 56.82 | $0.440 | $29.83 | +$4.83 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 120.19 |
| $0.208 |
| $23.32 |
| -$1.68 |
 Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 49.02 | $0.204 | $22.79 | +$12.79 |
 Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31? | Yes | 54.76 | $0.183 | $20.48 | +$10.48 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? | Yes | 25.64 | $0.390 | $17.69 | +$7.69 |
 Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 35.09 | $0.570 | $14.04 | -$5.96 |
| Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.540 | $11.3 | +$1.3 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.700 | $11.21 | +$1.21 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 54.95 | $0.273 | $7.94 | -$7.06 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.500 | $6.1 | -$3.9 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.160 | $3.88 | -$4.13 |
 Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | Yes | 44.12 | $0.340 | $2.43 | -$12.57 |
 Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 72.93 | $0.203 | $2.41 | -$12.39 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $2.17 | -$7.83 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $1.77 | -$8.23 |
 Will Timothée Chalamet be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | Yes | 25.2 | $0.595 | $0.97 | -$14.03 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 250.17 | $0.038 | $0.75 | -$8.87 |
| buy |
| 18.52 |
| $0.540 |
| $10 |
| 24d ago |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 49.02 | $0.204 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | 28d ago |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 89.28 | $0.372 | $33.21 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 85.71 | $0.123 | $10.54 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.440 | $25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 250.17 | $0.040 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?Yes | buy | 77.77 | $0.129 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | sell | 13.51 | $0.646 | $8.72 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 13.53 | $0.839 | $11.35 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.490 | $16.33 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | sell | 91.06 | $0.707 | $64.34 | May 20, 2026 |
 AWS service disrupted by June 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 13.53 | $0.739 | $10 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 114.57 | $0.049 | $5.61 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 64.66 | $0.140 | $9.05 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 26.17 | $0.935 | $24.47 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 26.18 | $0.764 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?Yes | buy | 49.25 | $0.670 | $33 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 282.85 | $0.017 | $4.81 | May 4, 2026 |
 Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | sell | 32.27 | $0.870 | $28.07 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.960 | $12.8 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.330 | $15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 45.61 | $0.329 | $15 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?Yes | buy | 27.46 | $0.350 | $9.61 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.76 | $0.610 | $19.38 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.273 | $15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 54.76 | $0.183 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 2.66 | $0.740 | $1.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |