Analytics
Yes is at 45.8%, up 31 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 1 Feb 2026.
Across the 241 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.6% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 May 2026. The current quote, 45.8%, is above every close in that window; the latest close was 45.6% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13.9%; a month before, 13.8%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 43% on 29 Apr 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “3rd richest person on December 31?”.
$346.38 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $70.05, with a 89.3% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $1.81 bought Yes and $242.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is awgraewrfa with 300 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 654.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 241 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 14.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 45.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.99 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 300 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 166.39 |
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/3rd-richest-person-on-december-31
| Cosmic Pulse 7937 | Yes | 60 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 47.43 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes | 13.08 |
| traveloka | Yes | 11.11 |
| Radiant-Nonbeliever | Yes | 10 |
| BSS37 | Yes | 9 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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