Analytics
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
politicsActive
Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Yes
15.0%
No
85.0%
Yes costs 15¢No costs 85¢
24h Volume
$2.6K
Total volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$654
Closes
Jan 1, 2027 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 15%, down 35 points from 50% when the market opened on 19 Jun 2026.
Across the 146 daily closes on record from 19 Jun 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 58% on 30 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 1 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16%; a month before, 37.5%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 52% on 5 Sep 2026.
Unusual Machines is the favourite of the 17 outcomes in “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”, ahead of Anthropic at 10.3%.
The best bid and the best ask are 4.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 155 trades, $339.58 bought Yes and $705.65 bought No.
Ten wallets hold 95.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 19 Jun 2026 – 14 Nov 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 15.0% |
All outcomes
Which companies will the US take a stake in?
- 1Unusual MachinesThis market$2.57K traded15.0%
- 2Anthropic$9.8K traded10.3%
- 3OpenAI
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 391.61 |
| macrosteaks | No | 230.99 |
| idl | No | 84.81 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on a consensus of credible reporting. Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports