Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | No | 300 | $0.760 | $277.5 | +$49.5 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 19?No | buy | 23 | $0.840 | $19.32 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 144.85 |
| $0.897 |
| $133.98 |
| +$3.98 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 70 | $0.810 | $67.66 | +$10.96 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 62.5 | $0.800 | $57.5 | +$7.5 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 57.47 | $0.870 | $56.47 | +$6.47 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 55.56 | $0.900 | $53.42 | +$3.42 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 52.28 | $0.956 | $51.87 | +$1.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | No | 53.19 | $0.940 | $50.8 | +$0.8 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 50.72 | $0.690 | $46.41 | +$11.41 |
 Negative GDP growth in 2026? | No | 45 | $0.840 | $44.08 | +$6.28 |
 EU dissolves before 2027? | No | 42.33 | $0.945 | $42.03 | +$2.03 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 43.96 | $0.910 | $41.54 | +$1.54 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | 46.05 | $0.760 | $40.3 | +$5.3 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 36.59 | $0.820 | $33.79 | +$3.79 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? | No | 36 | $0.830 | $27.9 | -$1.98 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 25.97 | $0.770 | $24.29 | +$4.29 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $21.49 | +$1.49 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $21.25 | +$1.25 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | No | 21.95 | $0.911 | $20.99 | +$0.99 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 24 | $0.830 | $19.08 | -$0.84 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 20 | $0.500 | $13.5 | +$3.5 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 13.33 | $0.750 | $12.72 | +$2.72 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10.26 | +$0.26 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 15.38 | $0.650 | $9.77 | -$0.23 |
| buy |
| 23 |
| $0.840 |
| $19.32 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
 Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?No | buy | 13.92 | $0.820 | $11.41 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?No | buy | 24 | $0.830 | $19.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 24 | $0.830 | $19.92 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?No | buy | 12 | $0.830 | $9.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.865 | $43.25 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?No | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 500 | $0.915 | $457.5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No | buy | 100 | $0.800 | $80 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have less than 100 launches in 2026?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will a hurricane form by May 31?No | buy | 10.58 | $0.945 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 52.28 | $0.956 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?No | buy | 108.37 | $0.923 | $100 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 21.95 | $0.911 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 10.76 | $0.929 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.950 | $25 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 42.33 | $0.945 | $40 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?No | buy | 20.75 | $0.964 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Grok 4.20 released by January 31?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 53.25 | $0.939 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.880 | $20 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.820 | $30 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.820 | $50 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?No | buy | 96 | $0.920 | $88.32 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Down | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No | buy | 56.04 | $0.910 | $51 | Jan 19, 2026 |