Analytics
Yes is at 16.5%, down 7.5 points from 24% when the market opened on 4 Feb 2026.
Across the 241 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 8 Jun 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 13 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 25.5%; a month before, 21%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 51.5% on 28 Feb 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”.
$64.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $56.16K since listing. The order book holds $1.48K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.66K bought Yes and $4.14K bought No.
The largest Yes position is macrosteaks with 2.9K shares; the largest No position is MrNoItAll with 3.2K. Ten wallets hold 88.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 241 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 24.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 16.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MrNoItAll | No | 3.19K |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 2.93K |
| ScottyNooo | No | 1.2K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
5 more markets, none above 7.0%.
| Garmonbozia |
| Yes |
| 507.22 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 471.15 |
| Contestable-Parfait | No | 295.2 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 268 |
| kittycat67 | Yes | 268 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 198.72 |
| Misty Harbor 2967 | Yes | 147 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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