Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 49 points from 59.5% when the market opened on 4 Feb 2026.
Across the 245 daily closes on record from 4 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 59.5% on 4 Feb 2026 and the lowest 7% on 2 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14.5%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 9% on 3 Mar 2026.
It is one of 17 markets under “Which companies will the US take a stake in?”.
$19.8K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $810.75, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 399 trades, $897.19 bought Yes and $3.94K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Breakable-Bottomline with 844 shares; the largest No position is MrNoItAll with 820. Ten wallets hold 75% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 245 points, 4 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | 59.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Breakable-Bottomline | Yes | 844.5 |
| MrNoItAll | No | 819.9 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 485.25 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
5 more markets, none above 7.5%.
| rocky42014 | Yes | 300 |
| bittersahu | No | 290.9 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 277.21 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 270 |
| deepsleep | No | 253.02 |
| TheWindKnowsmyName | No | 181.89 |
| Midas14 | No | 174.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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