Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 668.98 | $0.765 | $578.67 | +$66.88 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.604 | $24.15 | 20h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 514.03 |
| $0.831 |
| $510.95 |
| +$83.72 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | No | 349.05 | $0.688 | $319.38 | +$79.35 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 380 | $0.890 | $316.73 | -$21.67 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.960 | $242.38 | +$2.38 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.910 | $189 | +$7 |
 Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.880 | $183 | +$7 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.765 | $177.49 | +$24.5 |
 Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | No | 166.17 | $0.844 | $165.75 | +$25.54 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 161 | $0.850 | $147.96 | +$11.11 |
 Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? | Yes | 158.64 | $0.709 | $140.4 | +$27.93 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 150 | $0.897 | $138.75 | +$4.25 |
 Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.850 | $124.5 | -$3 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? | No | 146.88 | $0.825 | $122.64 | +$1.47 |
 Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | No | 132.37 | $0.775 | $122.11 | +$19.47 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $97.2 | +$16.2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $96.95 | +$13.95 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.913 | $96.95 | +$5.6 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.830 | $82.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 107.1 | $0.870 | $80.33 | -$12.85 |
 Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.870 | $74.8 | +$5.2 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 76.3 | $0.900 | $71.61 | +$2.94 |
 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | No | 66.43 | $0.854 | $62.45 | +$5.7 |
| Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? | Yes | 61.76 | $0.770 | $58.02 | +$10.47 |
 Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 60 | $0.930 | $55.5 | -$0.3 |
| sell |
| 120 |
| $0.604 |
| $72.5 |
| 20h ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | 2d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.630 | $50.4 | 3d ago |
 Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No | sell | 41.76 | $0.750 | $31.32 | 5d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 59.05 | $0.700 | $41.33 | 7d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 90 | $0.350 | $31.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 936.14 | $0.013 | $11.96 | 7d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | sell | 60 | $0.650 | $39 | 10d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 90 | $0.300 | $27 | 11d ago |
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?No | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | 12d ago |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 38 | $0.970 | $36.86 | 13d ago |
 Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 14.99 | $0.720 | $10.79 | 14d ago |
| Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.720 | $25.2 | 14d ago |
| Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | 14d ago |
| Will Nvidia say "Enterprise" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.840 | $42.84 | 14d ago |
 Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | sell | 15 | $0.074 | $1.11 | 15d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 50 | $0.078 | $3.9 | 15d ago |
| Does Ox Alpha belong to Zhipu AI (Z.ai)?No | buy | 100 | $0.078 | $7.79 | 15d ago |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 51.47 | $0.971 | $49.98 | 18d ago |
| Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | 18d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 137.25 | $0.926 | $127.09 | 28d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 28d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.376 | $1.88 | 29d ago |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.720 | $3.87 | 29d ago |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.780 | $54.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.534 | $53.95 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.900 | $45 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 101 | $0.536 | $54.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.255 | $12.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.430 | $21.5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.247 | $24.75 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No | buy | 250 | $0.960 | $240 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No | buy | 107.1 | $0.870 | $93.18 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.850 | $127.5 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?No | sell | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 77.31 | $0.795 | $61.46 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | sell | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July?No | buy | 6.46 | $0.540 | $3.49 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in July?No | buy | 50.1 | $0.728 | $36.47 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $420 in July?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.030 | $0.45 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.300 | $4.5 | Jul 5, 2026 |