Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?

Name: Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled May 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.8M

Resolved

Settled

May 15, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.96M	0.0%	$0
rdba	Yes	206.67K	2.0%	$4.2K
soganyok	Yes	55K	0.5%	$292.27
peepeepooppoop	Yes	35.08K	2.0%	$701.51
WIZSTE22	Yes	25K	0.2%	$39.98	May 14, 6:42 PM UTC
Superstonks	Yes	25K	0.4%	$100
pd.unique	Yes	23.78K	2.3%	$537.09	May 13, 1:12 PM UTC
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	22.73K	0.0%	$0	May 12, 9:29 PM UTC
robotsir	Yes	20K	0.1%	$19.98
SM21FE	Yes	20K	0.3%	$60
leotasokl2026	Yes	16.76K	0.1%	$16.76	May 14, 6:12 AM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	15.46K	2.0%	$309.12
Rainforest6	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99
True-Jailhouse	Yes	6.25K	0.4%	$25
Bigggggggg	Yes	6.14K	0.0%	$0
Monstrous-Peace-Cayenne	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10	May 12, 9:32 PM UTC
EricForeman	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 14, 8:39 PM UTC
easynow	Yes	5K	0.5%	$25
HerrieDavis	Yes	4K	2.0%	$79.98
Freedom-BY	Yes	3.7K	0.3%	$10.91
Usatmelo	Yes	3.5K	0.3%	$10.5
fortniteplayer	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
MomSaidImSpecial	Yes	3.33K	0.6%	$20
BiggieMove	Yes	3.17K	0.3%	$9.5
Netzomix	Yes	2.86K	0.7%	$20
smallreceipt	Yes	2.83K	0.0%	$0
nexusoptimus	Yes	2.74K	0.1%	$2.74
Malpa	Yes	2.7K	0.4%	$10.31
graynotebook19	Yes	2.61K	0.0%	$-0
Kent777	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Erka-RoadTo1M	Yes	2.5K	0.6%	$15
likealovesong	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Acceptable-West	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5	May 13, 4:44 AM UTC
gerryyoungman	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5	May 13, 6:12 PM UTC
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	2.06K	2.0%	$41.21
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	2K	2.0%	$40
Double-Moonlight	Yes	2K	0.6%	$12
sxxxo	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4
izobilia	Yes	2K	0.5%	$10
koreshkukla	Yes	2K	0.6%	$12
ACara	Yes	2K	0.3%	$6
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	1.81K	0.2%	$3.61	May 13, 8:05 PM UTC
Lagodna	Yes	1.7K	0.4%	$6.5
e46m3	Yes	1.68K	0.0%	$0
Courageous-Grill	Yes	1.67K	0.6%	$10
IamJanMarsalek	Yes	1.63K	0.4%	$6.53
cowcat	Yes	1.63K	2.0%	$32.54
Azure Orbit 974F	Yes	1.43K	0.2%	$2.85	May 13, 12:13 AM UTC
Keen Quasar 2D35	Yes	1.25K	0.8%	$10
H2O	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
V8dude	Yes	1.25K	0.2%	$2	May 14, 8:34 PM UTC
Kiki777	Yes	1.17K	0.4%	$4.52
Kreso321	Yes	1.1K	0.2%	$2.2	May 12, 8:57 PM UTC
godblessme2026	Yes	1.09K	0.0%	$0	May 12, 11:18 PM UTC
bobtherob2006	Yes	1.07K	0.2%	$2.13
parasonic	Yes	1K	0.4%	$3.82
Worn-Regret	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
Legal-Godparent	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
Seabstian	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
itachidfg	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Revolver95	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	May 14, 7:51 AM UTC
desmadrados	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
C.MayerCashhh	Yes	1K	0.4%	$4
Lasting-Eviction	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
Zigzag-Fire	Yes	916.67	0.3%	$3
products	Yes	895	2.0%	$17.9
yPolimarket	Yes	856.31	1.2%	$10.16
Markus392	Yes	833.33	0.6%	$5
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	740	0.0%	$0
Other-Quest	Yes	722.14	0.7%	$5
Limp-Release	Yes	680.03	0.7%	$5
kaktusmaktus	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
JoE	Yes	650.44	2.0%	$13.01
jklml	Yes	638.25	0.6%	$3.94
pestanimal	Yes	600	0.0%	$0
Focused-Intestine	Yes	504.35	0.2%	$1.12
Uspakk	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
John3501	Yes	500	1.0%	$5.1
luxowig	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Plump-Deadline	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Impartial-Connection	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 13, 7:36 AM UTC
flashy07	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Emerald Raven F8DD	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Ripper4	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 13, 4:30 AM UTC
Zer0NullByte	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 12, 9:09 PM UTC
Koisis	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Renniweg99	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 13, 8:20 AM UTC
Sociable-Cooking	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Punctual-Basics	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
teemesgenn	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 13, 4:21 PM UTC
Lumbering-Nightgown	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
elliottmoore	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
Nimble-Dibble-Backbone	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
IBSI	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
friendlyusername	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
Pushy-Stall	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 13, 4:12 PM UTC
quiddy	Yes	463.51	0.0%	$0
zzhatrangzz	Yes	444.45	0.5%	$2.22
NeedMoneyForGolf	Yes	405.81	0.2%	$1
northdrawer	Yes	404.82	1.1%	$4.54
evanm20282	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Wide-Eyed-Tripod	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
michamicha	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
TaeSoo	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
tamalaile	Yes	340	0.2%	$0.68
Azure Pulse CF62	Yes	333.34	0.4%	$1.33
nowornever007	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
GustavsRules	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
JonnyStepanov	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
push3d	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
eldurain	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
JoellenHaymond	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Dishonest-Message	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	333	2.0%	$6.66
denis223	Yes	312.5	1.6%	$5
compte21	Yes	296.67	0.6%	$1.78
Mostweakestniga	Yes	294.12	1.7%	$5
Kazmcp	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
Graceful-Purr	Yes	279.3	1.8%	$5
NinjaCorp	Yes	258.25	0.8%	$2
Joskin	Yes	256.55	0.0%	$0	May 13, 3:04 PM UTC
sellingreality	Yes	253.75	0.8%	$2
Ardtysrt01	Yes	251.01	0.5%	$1.25
qwertaken	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
cash-machine	Yes	250	2.0%	$5	May 12, 9:14 PM UTC
0xDC.	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Azure Horizon B075	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
yuf8f	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Spotless-Kangaroo	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
edvpettersen	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
lorenRL	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
daodaozhai123	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
S3LFMADE	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
pruch30	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Marvelous-Sponsorship	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Warped-Pumpkin	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Chucky32	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Misty Pioneer AEF1	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
RobbyLo	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Standard-Good	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Concrete-Pacemaker	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Quiet Voyager 246F	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
sarvi	Yes	228.91	2.2%	$5
Coral Maven 0F5A	Yes	208	0.5%	$1.04
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Eardrum0559	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Truthful-Discharge	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
UMA-3CAM	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Motherly-Sill	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
entropygames	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
BuchD	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
andygorb	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
bobinho.dp	Yes	200	0.3%	$0.6
Cavernous-Boot	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Mad-Transmission	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Linear-Coaster	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Frigyes86	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	182.7	1.9%	$3.53
Sunekaer	Yes	181.82	0.2%	$0.36
Grateful-Whey	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
surlollipop	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
ghekirinii	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Aggravating-Plane	Yes	166.66	0.7%	$1.17
qWOprt7	Yes	157.89	1.9%	$3
Arturouvinov	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Irritating-Keeper	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
Obedient-Codling	Yes	136.27	0.7%	$1
Grand-Faucet	Yes	132.24	1.9%	$2.51
animal.bean	Yes	124.44	0.0%	$0
human.bean	Yes	124.05	1.8%	$2.27
jennylulu2016	Yes	124	1.0%	$1.27
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	120	1.0%	$1.22
Marcovaz	Yes	119.93	1.7%	$2
Repulsive-Routine	Yes	117.65	1.7%	$2
korda77	Yes	113.99	0.0%	$0	May 13, 12:09 PM UTC
Slow-Subgroup	Yes	111.94	0.9%	$1
echoctrl	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
Amazing-Riddle	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1
1cc	Yes	111	1.0%	$1.1
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Limp-Senate	Yes	100	0.6%	$0.6
BohdanI	Yes	95	2.0%	$1.91
Tiny-Stance	Yes	85	1.2%	$1
GollumGekko	Yes	83.75	1.6%	$1.3
fang1957	Yes	80	0.2%	$0.16
husky999	Yes	76.92	1.3%	$1
Bold-Minion	Yes	72.5	1.4%	$1
Sk1z	Yes	62.5	1.6%	$1
tttdd	Yes	59.99	0.4%	$0.24
LaBefana	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
Trifling-Standoff	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
sunshine2305	Yes	52.63	1.9%	$1
Beloved-Bathtub	Yes	52.5	1.2%	$0.63
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	50.21	0.0%	$0
AlexFromRussia	Yes	50	2.0%	$1
Cosmic Raven C559	Yes	45.63	1.0%	$0.46
cry.eth2	Yes	42.31	0.0%	$0
Crocoflex	Yes	41	4.9%	$2
username-is-not-taken	Yes	36.31	0.0%	$0
triklozoid	Yes	29.98	0.1%	$0.03
Aannanasik	Yes	25.74	1.1%	$0.29	May 13, 3:50 PM UTC
plainfolder	Yes	25	0.0%	$0
letmecookibegyou	Yes	24.24	0.0%	$0
PollyForge	Yes	23.01	0.0%	$0	May 13, 2:43 AM UTC
yzhaobk-nrt	Yes	21.54	0.0%	$0
Thrifty-Base	No	16.02	99.1%	$15.88
simplystupid188	Yes	13.44	0.6%	$0.08
ARdGam	No	12.04	99.7%	$12
Crimson Ledger 2573	Yes	9	0.0%	$0
3umf	Yes	6.25	0.2%	$0.01
wwder	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Insidious-Maelstrom	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
quietparcel	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
nepta	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
Evador	Yes	4.72	0.7%	$0.03
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.38	1.4%	$0.05
Swift Voyager 9E53	No	1.19	99.9%	$1.18
sepolo	Yes	1.14	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.04	2.0%	$0.02
Azure Quasar BBFA	No	1	99.8%	$1
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	1	0.6%	$0.01
shine	Yes	0.37	1.8%	$0.01
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.26	1.8%	$0

224 of 224 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.96M
Thrifty-Base	$16.02
ARdGam	$12.04

Analytics