Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?

Name: Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled May 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$5.7M

Resolved

Settled

May 13, 2026 UTC

Topic roomEurovision

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.96M	0.0%	$0
TimeTraveler	Yes	200K	0.1%	$206.49	May 11, 7:34 PM UTC
Pirolito	Yes	52.97K	0.2%	$129.29
cyfra	Yes	50K	0.1%	$50
Rainforest6	Yes	43.83K	0.3%	$133.42
pd.unique	Yes	35.99K	0.0%	$0	May 8, 3:05 PM UTC
peepeepooppoop	Yes	35.08K	2.0%	$701.51
sununes	Yes	30.79K	0.5%	$149.97
SM21FE	Yes	30K	0.2%	$60
Scornful-Conductor	Yes	26.76K	0.0%	$0	May 6, 8:55 PM UTC
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	21.89K	2.0%	$437.89
Alwayswinswtf	Yes	20.46K	0.6%	$119.99
robotsir	Yes	20K	0.1%	$19.98	May 11, 5:17 PM UTC
Cobalt Atlas EFEA	Yes	20K	0.1%	$20
Azure Voyager 1BFA	Yes	10.03K	0.3%	$30.1
fortniteplayer	Yes	10K	0.2%	$19.99	May 7, 2:22 AM UTC
chupakeduva	Yes	9K	0.2%	$17.99	May 7, 3:50 PM UTC
shordanu-barosanu	Yes	7K	0.3%	$21
Razam	Yes	6.75K	0.2%	$15.83
parasonic	Yes	6.7K	0.2%	$15.08
Duhast0	Yes	6.7K	0.2%	$15.08
Lagodna	Yes	6.7K	0.2%	$15.05
Kalinousky1863	Yes	6.7K	0.2%	$15
Kiki777	Yes	6.7K	0.2%	$14.91
Debsideb	Yes	6.67K	0.3%	$20
vee3	Yes	6.35K	0.3%	$19.03
Flafson	Yes	6.26K	0.9%	$57.26
Bigggggggg	Yes	6.14K	0.0%	$0
Kropka	Yes	5.45K	0.3%	$15.07
Kent777	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
10450-1	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 12, 10:15 AM UTC
likealovesong	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
LukaToti	Yes	5K	0.2%	$10
AnimalEater	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 12, 9:12 PM UTC
Palatable-Routine	Yes	5K	0.1%	$5	May 11, 1:36 PM UTC
izobilia	Yes	4.39K	0.3%	$13.18
Malpa	Yes	4.2K	0.2%	$9.04
Abrus77	Yes	4.2K	0.2%	$9.11
Googinot	Yes	4.2K	0.2%	$10.02
neutralwave23	Yes	3.88K	0.2%	$8.44	May 7, 6:00 PM UTC
Jade Falcon 2704	Yes	3.64K	2.0%	$72.82
dnsmalkin	Yes	3.33K	0.3%	$10
Gramazeka	Yes	3.25K	0.3%	$9
Lasting-Weapon	Yes	3.1K	0.3%	$9.3
RollTheDiceX	Yes	3.02K	0.4%	$12
Avaricious-Plumber	Yes	3K	0.2%	$6	May 7, 8:55 AM UTC
iamhereto	Yes	2.6K	0.7%	$18.9
ZaDarma	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$6
trycharapahi	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$6
Erka-RoadTo1M	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Vacant-Ravioli	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5
Dnjapro	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$6
Fantastic-Paper	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
gerryyoungman	Yes	2.5K	0.4%	$10
Fluffy-Towtruck	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5.98
Zorachka	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5.98
Short-Term-Fit	Yes	2.33K	0.3%	$7
Slimy-Modeling	Yes	2.06K	0.0%	$-0.02
ACara	Yes	2.02K	0.3%	$6.96
sxxxo	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 11, 8:21 PM UTC
Legal-Godparent	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 12, 11:58 AM UTC
wimpi	Yes	2K	1.0%	$20.41
outatime	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 10, 9:49 AM UTC
DawsonQuest	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 11, 7:24 PM UTC
C.MayerCashhh	Yes	2K	0.2%	$4.5
Aotearoa317	Yes	2K	0.1%	$2	May 11, 6:01 AM UTC
HerrieDavis	Yes	1.95K	2.0%	$38.99
Turbulent-Decline-Router	Yes	1.95K	0.0%	$0
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	1.88K	0.3%	$5.64
e46m3	Yes	1.67K	0.0%	$0
WillGetItRight	Yes	1.67K	0.3%	$5
cowcat	Yes	1.59K	2.0%	$31.74
pestanimal	Yes	1.5K	0.0%	$0
Klopat	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
Kabeta	Yes	1.5K	0.2%	$3
MrMojoRisin1943	Yes	1.43K	0.7%	$10
tjrmgi2019	Yes	1.33K	0.3%	$4
SharkingSpot	Yes	1.3K	0.1%	$1.3	May 12, 9:36 PM UTC
MT208208	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
Flashbream	Yes	1.25K	0.4%	$5
MarvelousRigaPanthers427	Yes	1.25K	0.1%	$1.25	May 11, 3:25 PM UTC
LisbonNovaRaptors3421	Yes	1.24K	0.1%	$1.24	May 11, 4:22 PM UTC
Revolving-Sweatsuit	Yes	1.23K	0.1%	$1.23	May 11, 3:54 PM UTC
LisbonAstra7Nova181	Yes	1.2K	0.1%	$1.2	May 11, 4:16 PM UTC
UrbanCatalonia318Nova	Yes	1.15K	0.1%	$1.15	May 11, 3:32 PM UTC
CrystalLisbon4702Panthers	Yes	1.14K	0.1%	$1.14	May 11, 3:27 PM UTC
UrbanCaspianFalcons362	Yes	1.11K	0.1%	$1.11	May 11, 3:22 PM UTC
Zamoterix	Yes	1.06K	0.5%	$5
dato77	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2.4
turbota	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
Uspakk	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 10, 5:59 PM UTC
Speedy-Workshop	Yes	1K	0.5%	$5
GustavsRules	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 9, 4:23 PM UTC
flashy07	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 11, 7:20 AM UTC
Emerald Raven F8DD	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2
nora-luca	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 12, 5:04 PM UTC
Kreso321	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 12, 8:58 PM UTC
hmara	Yes	1K	0.3%	$3
Seabstian	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 11, 6:24 PM UTC
itachidfg	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 11, 6:39 PM UTC
Mercybets	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 12, 7:15 PM UTC
desmadrados	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 11, 2:59 PM UTC
Immaterial-Orangutan	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 10, 3:07 PM UTC
AnonBoy	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 10, 10:33 PM UTC
Sociable-Cooking	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 11, 8:27 PM UTC
Lumbering-Nightgown	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	May 10, 6:24 PM UTC
0x1235651	Yes	999.99	0.2%	$2
products	Yes	895	2.0%	$17.9
tcardosa	Yes	750	0.4%	$3
ytr151	Yes	742	0.5%	$3.71
NoLoyaltyToTheBosses	Yes	730	0.0%	$0
JoE	Yes	686.58	2.0%	$13.73
timefreeze10	Yes	669.99	1.5%	$10.05
bobtherob2006	Yes	666.67	0.2%	$1.33	May 7, 10:16 PM UTC
Zigzag-Fire	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Plump-Deadline	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Proud-Insurance	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
kaktusmaktus	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Mondongooo	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
TaeSoo	Yes	666.67	0.3%	$2
Joskin	Yes	627.01	0.0%	$0
ShodanPT	Yes	625	0.8%	$5
Fairy659744	Yes	600	0.3%	$1.8
GigiStalma	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 6, 10:39 PM UTC
Geetanjaliv	Yes	500	0.3%	$1.5
Samdhan	Yes	500	0.3%	$1.5
deyyuz	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	May 7, 11:21 AM UTC
Bold-Project	Yes	500	0.4%	$2
nuasninnhina	Yes	500	0.2%	$1
bobinho.dp	Yes	499.94	0.3%	$1.5
MrNorway	Yes	476.56	1.0%	$5
Aaravye	Yes	474	50.0%	$237	May 12, 11:39 AM UTC
Dimasty	Yes	473	50.0%	$236.5	May 12, 11:40 AM UTC
GAELLERETOUR	Yes	457.5	0.4%	$1.83
Querulous-Belt	Yes	415.17	0.3%	$1.25
Kazmcp	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Aradrop	Yes	400	0.5%	$2
Neon Pioneer 20E4	Yes	370	0.3%	$1.11
a5tthsyuo3c	Yes	355.34	1.5%	$5.29
Ardtysrt01	Yes	344	0.3%	$1.03
cash-machine	Yes	339.99	2.0%	$6.8
tamalaile	Yes	339.99	0.2%	$0.68
Crimson Oracle 5B87	Yes	333.34	0.3%	$1
sellingreality	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Truthful-Discharge	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
0xDC.	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
UMA-3CAM	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Azure Horizon B075	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Spotless-Kangaroo	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
1investment	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Motherly-Sill	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
brodoser	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Ivory Ledger 8F4D	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
entropygames	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
S3LFMADE	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
pruch30	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
push3d	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
cloud98	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Marvelous-Sponsorship	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Warped-Pumpkin	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
AlexH32	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Lonely-Ketchup	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
turbolink	Yes	333.33	0.6%	$2
AndrewR21	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Ngab	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Erman33	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Fluid-Texture	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Closed-Bitten	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Dishonest-Message	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Mad-Transmission	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Username1212888	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Positive-Payoff	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
Menacing-Convention	Yes	333.33	0.3%	$1
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	333	2.0%	$6.66
flea65	Yes	300	0.7%	$2.1
Old-Comma	Yes	300	0.5%	$1.5
Marcovaz	Yes	285.71	0.7%	$2
quiddy	Yes	258.77	0.0%	$0
qwertaken	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
luau	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Simplistic-Radiator	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
surlollipop	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
ghekirinii	Yes	250	0.4%	$1
Allez-vous-en	Yes	249.94	0.2%	$0.61
buyyyuui	No	223.67	99.7%	$223
korda77	Yes	216.44	0.0%	$0
Edible-Pier	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
echoctrl	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
Amazing-Riddle	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
NinjaCorp	Yes	200	0.5%	$1
vasys	Yes	199.99	0.8%	$1.6
husky999	Yes	181.82	1.1%	$2
Meteobit	Yes	175.27	5.7%	$10
Quiet Voyager 246F	Yes	167	0.6%	$1
Arturouvinov	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
Irritating-Keeper	Yes	166.67	0.6%	$1
pedro11	Yes	150	0.7%	$1.05
Bright Harbor D04B	Yes	142.86	0.7%	$1
human.bean	Yes	139.38	1.8%	$2.54
animal.bean	Yes	124.44	0.0%	$0	May 8, 2:30 PM UTC
jennylulu2016	Yes	124	1.0%	$1.27
Amber Falcon CFF5	Yes	120	1.0%	$1.22
Aannanasik	Yes	108.42	0.0%	$0
Rokokoraccoon	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Limp-Senate	Yes	100	0.6%	$0.6
Pereirinha	Yes	98.66	1.0%	$1
Bold-Minion	Yes	92.79	1.1%	$1
lourencomestre	Yes	91.82	1.1%	$1
GollumGekko	Yes	83.75	1.6%	$1.3
Esteemed-Aftermath	Yes	83.33	1.2%	$1
fang1957	Yes	79.98	0.2%	$0.16
qWOprt7	Yes	69.07	1.4%	$1
sunshine2305	Yes	69.07	1.4%	$1
LaBefana	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
Trifling-Standoff	Yes	66.67	1.5%	$1
nepta	Yes	65	1.0%	$0.66
cry.eth2	Yes	42.31	0.0%	$0
username-is-not-taken	Yes	36.31	0.0%	$0
triklozoid	Yes	29.98	0.1%	$0.03
asfdt18	Yes	27.04	0.3%	$0.08
letmecookibegyou	Yes	18.42	0.0%	$0
GaryJefferson	No	17.05	99.7%	$17
TRiger	No	13.37	99.7%	$13.33
Beloved-Bathtub	Yes	10.43	0.0%	$-0.01
Crimson Ledger 2573	Yes	9	0.0%	$0
Coral Orbit DF58	No	5.04	99.3%	$5
wwder	Yes	5	0.1%	$0.01
Insidious-Maelstrom	Yes	5	0.0%	$0
3-mil-on-tour	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
ThiagoAzevedo	No	4.01	99.8%	$4
Evador	Yes	3.59	0.8%	$0.03
NoMoreMister	Yes	3.36	1.4%	$0.05
sepolo	Yes	1.14	0.0%	$0
BuyTheDip007	Yes	1.04	2.0%	$0.02
Azure Quasar BBFA	No	1	99.8%	$1
Woknasc	Yes	1	50.0%	$0.5
26lkkdasdsa	Yes	0.98	0.3%	$0
shine	Yes	0.36	1.8%	$0.01
EdwardLewis	Yes	0.29	1.9%	$0.01

239 of 239 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$1.96M
buyyyuui	$223.67
GaryJefferson	$17.05

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