What is the “Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 3.5¢ and No at 96.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.5% for Yes and 96.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($8.53K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($596.98) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 64 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 62.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 14, 4:32 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-openai-launch-a-token-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-openai-launch-a-token-before-2027Updated just now

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027token-launchpre-market

Yes

3.5%

96.5%

Buy Yes 3.45¢Buy No 96.55¢

24h Volume

$8.5K

Liquidity

$597

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Yes price

3.45¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

3.5%

96.5%

24h volume

$8.53K

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 3.45¢

Open in terminal$8.53K 24h vol

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

2.7%

Observed

just now

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

3.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

63%

Yes / No shares

1.54K / 1.54K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

195

Wallets

106

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
darkaurora	sell	Yes	1.6%	20	Sep 12, 1:20 AM
luisotavio0312	sell	No

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 3.5¢ and No at 96.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 3.5% for Yes and 96.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be publicly announced and transferable on a blockchain. The resolution source will be public announcements from OpenAI.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($8.53K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($596.98) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 64 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 62.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.