Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? | No | 104.17 | $0.960 | $103.59 | +$3.59 |
Revolut IPO before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AI bubble burst in 2026?No | buy | 17.01 | $0.882 | $15 | 3d ago |
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| No |
| 105.54 |
| $0.842 |
| $101.42 |
| +$12.53 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 54.35 | $0.920 | $53.99 | +$3.99 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 55.23 | $0.878 | $53.55 | +$5.05 |
OpenAI acquired before 2027? | No | 45.22 | $0.946 | $43.39 | +$0.63 |
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | No | 29.98 | $0.915 | $28.41 | +$0.97 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.810 | $27.75 | +$3.45 |
AI bubble burst in 2026? | No | 27.01 | $0.818 | $23.97 | +$1.87 |
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20.11 | $0.870 | $19.58 | +$2.08 |
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | No | 19.93 | $0.948 | $19.5 | +$0.6 |
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? | No | 19.93 | $0.948 | $18.9 | +$0 |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.845 | $18.9 | +$2 |
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027? | No | 20.02 | $0.924 | $18.32 | -$0.19 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 19.57 | $0.920 | $18.1 | +$0.1 |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 20.09 | $0.815 | $17.78 | +$1.41 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 15.75 | $0.870 | $14.72 | +$1.02 |
Anthropic acquired before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.900 | $14.54 | +$1.04 |
Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 15.32 | $0.894 | $14.48 | +$0.78 |
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | 14.86 | $0.933 | $14.34 | +$0.47 |
US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 15 | $0.820 | $13.58 | +$1.28 |
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? | No | 13.33 | $0.850 | $13.04 | +$1.71 |
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? | Meta | 12.67 | $0.780 | $10.45 | +$0.57 |
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 10.56 | $0.895 | $10.3 | +$0.85 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.61 | $0.851 | $10.2 | +$1.17 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10? | No | 10.01 | $0.965 | $10.01 | +$0.35 |
| buy |
| 5.42 |
| $0.922 |
| $5 |
| 3d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.957 | $9.59 | 3d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 3d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.965 | $9.66 | 3d ago |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.995 | $9.95 | 3d ago |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.959 | $9.61 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.969 | $9.71 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.956 | $9.58 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.957 | $9.59 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.930 | $9.33 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.910 | $9.13 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.890 | $8.94 | 3d ago |
Will OpenAI announce a clip-on device for clothing in 2026?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.860 | $8.65 | 3d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | sell | 25.64 | $0.810 | $20.77 | 3d ago |
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | 22d ago |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes | buy | 19.57 | $0.920 | $18 | 22d ago |
NVIDIA (NVDA) all-time high by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 22d ago |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 22d ago |
Discord IPO before 2027?No | buy | 9.93 | $0.705 | $7 | 22d ago |
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.870 | $8.7 | 22d ago |
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?No | buy | 9.92 | $0.978 | $9.7 | 22d ago |
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 22d ago |
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No | buy | 9.93 | $0.957 | $9.5 | 22d ago |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?No | buy | 9.92 | $0.927 | $9.2 | 22d ago |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.93 | $0.876 | $8.7 | 22d ago |
Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | 22d ago |
ChatGPT Full Outage by August 31?No | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | 22d ago |
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 22d ago |
OpenAI acquired before 2027?No | buy | 9.91 | $0.959 | $9.5 | 22d ago |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 22d ago |
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | 22d ago |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.77 | $0.880 | $8.6 | 22d ago |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 9.94 | $0.966 | $9.6 | 22d ago |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 22d ago |
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 9.93 | $0.607 | $6.03 | 22d ago |
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 22d ago |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.96 | $0.984 | $9.8 | 22d ago |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 9.99 | $0.971 | $9.7 | 22d ago |
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 22d ago |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.79 | $0.940 | $28 | 22d ago |
Will the next Claude Haiku model be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 22d ago |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?No | buy | 3.14 | $0.970 | $3.05 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $95B by July 31?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by July 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by July 31?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 9.88 | $0.810 | $8 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 4.94 | $0.810 | $4 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.890 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Jul 6, 2026 |