Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jazz Chisholm Jr. lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season? | No | 0.5 | $0.978 | $0.48 | -$0 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anneliese Midgley be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?Yes | sell | 70.9 | $0.056 | $3.97 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 0.5 |
| $0.660 |
| $0.48 |
| +$0.15 |
 Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? | No | 0.49 | $0.950 | $0.47 | +$0 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-22 House seat? | No | 0.47 | $0.890 | $0.43 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the PA-17 House seat? | Yes | 0.42 | $0.880 | $0.39 | +$0.03 |
 Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 0.35 | $0.958 | $0.34 | +$0.01 |
 Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 0.35 | $0.978 | $0.34 | +$0 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.4 | $0.921 | $0.33 | -$0.03 |
 Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28? | No | 0.39 | $0.921 | $0.3 | -$0.05 |
 Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed artist for 2026? | No | 0.3 | $0.891 | $0.3 | +$0.03 |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.36 | $0.640 | $0.3 | +$0.06 |
 Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | Yes | 0.46 | $0.680 | $0.28 | -$0.03 |
 Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | No | 0.3 | $0.916 | $0.27 | -$0.01 |
 Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch | No | 0.3 | $0.967 | $0.26 | -$0.03 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 0.23 | $0.971 | $0.23 | +$0.01 |
 Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31? | No | 0.23 | $0.844 | $0.22 | +$0.03 |
 Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? | Yes | 0.39 | $0.434 | $0.21 | +$0.04 |
| Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 0.2 | $0.926 | $0.2 | +$0.01 |
 Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | No | 0.2 | $0.937 | $0.19 | +$0 |
 Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | No | 0.17 | $0.981 | $0.17 | +$0 |
 Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? | Yes | 0.13 | $0.600 | $0.12 | +$0.04 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | No | 0.49 | $0.560 | $0.07 | -$0.21 |
 Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 0.14 | $0.490 | $0.07 | -$0 |
 Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election? | No | 0.18 | $0.360 | $0.06 | -$0 |
 Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.068 | $0.06 | +$0.04 |
| sell |
| 25.99 |
| $0.065 |
| $1.69 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.065 | $0.13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?No | sell | 195 | $0.080 | $15.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-05 House seat?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No | sell | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 47 | $0.370 | $17.39 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Nick Fuentes federally charged?Yes | sell | 31 | $0.020 | $0.62 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.021 | $0.63 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?Yes | sell | 239 | $0.021 | $5.02 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Nick Fuentes federally charged?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.029 | $2.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 600 | $0.860 | $516 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.180 | $7.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.3 | $0.190 | $1.01 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No | sell | 13.32 | $0.410 | $5.46 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 505 | $0.880 | $444.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.680 | $13.6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 12.83 | $0.807 | $10.35 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.810 | $5.81 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump endorse Donald Trump Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.910 | $3.09 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Rodrygo finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.020 | $0.72 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 71.43 | $0.010 | $0.71 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.010 | $0.12 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Bukayo Saka finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 24.57 | $0.011 | $0.27 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.030 | $4.44 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?No | sell | 38 | $0.840 | $31.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Enzo Fernandez finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 53 | $0.030 | $1.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?No | sell | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Frank Klingebiel win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Yes | sell | 7.33 | $0.910 | $6.67 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Tobias Bey win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 84 | $0.380 | $31.92 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.5 | $0.060 | $1.59 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 3.88 | $0.810 | $3.14 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 20 | $0.820 | $16.4 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 30.1 | $0.820 | $24.68 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the Chicago Sky make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.42 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?No | sell | 20 | $0.878 | $17.56 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?No | sell | 7.1 | $0.620 | $4.4 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 38.98 | $0.012 | $0.47 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 39.67 | $0.011 | $0.44 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.016 | $0.12 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 22?Yes | sell | 122.35 | $0.020 | $2.45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?No | sell | 2.6 | $0.850 | $2.21 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600B on August 31?Yes | sell | 5.65 | $0.030 | $0.17 | Aug 7, 2026 |