Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 92%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 15 Oct 2026, the highest close was 92% on 15 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31% on 21 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 43.5% on 4 Sep 2026. $3.88K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 16, 2:53 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 92.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cuddly-Ethyl | No | 110 |
| Empty-Annual | No | 90 |
| BuyerOfNo | No | 63.53 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027
| Fain | No | 59.74 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| ASTROHADES | No | 40 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | No | 24 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 22 |
| AMAM13 | No | 21 |
| tiromi | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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