Analytics
Yes is at 3.3%, down 1.7 points from 5% when the market opened on 26 Aug 2026.
Across the 62 daily closes on record from 26 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.3% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.9% on 1 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3.3%; a month before, 4.3%.
It is one of 8 markets under “What price will Lighter hit in 2026?”.
$977.01 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $518.45, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $19.31 bought Yes and $438.88 bought No.
The largest Yes position is faceglobally with 365 shares; the largest No position is 1231123123 with 221. Ten wallets hold 90.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 26 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Aug 2026 | 5.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| faceglobally | Yes | 364.84 |
| 1231123123 | No | 221 |
| btcisking | No | 216.63 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026 has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Lighter LIT/USDC trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027
| jjjclv6 |
| No |
| 188.79 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 91.15 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 79.94 |
| PeggyGou | No | 71.61 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 60 |
| Opal6000 | Yes | 60 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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