Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 26 points from 27.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 30.5% on 11 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%; a month before, 6.7%. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 5.5% on 13 Sep 2026.
December 31, 2026 ranks third of the 3 outcomes in “Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 72.5%; March 31, 2027 is at 21%.
$2.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $505.23, with a 1.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $43.8 bought Yes and $985.85 bought No.
The largest Yes position is thecaricature with 370 shares; the largest No position is COOLBOY with 797.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 7:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 27.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| COOLBOY | No | 796.63 |
| thecaricature | Yes | 370.01 |
| endoption | No | 303.8 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 251.16 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 140.05 |
| SloviaShiba | Yes | 133.75 |
| lllyyycccc | Yes | 127.1 |
| Keen Horizon 328A | No | 94.64 |
| Malganis | Yes | 50 |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 28.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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