Analytics
Yes is at 71.5%, up 20 points from 51.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 44 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 87.5% on 26 Sep 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 10 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 70.5%; a month before, 85%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 71.5% on 11 Sep 2026.
June 30, 2027 is the favourite of the 3 outcomes in “Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?”, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 23.5%.
$20 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.44K since listing. The order book holds $250.73, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 118 trades, $1.35K bought Yes and $204.05 bought No.
The largest Yes position is SloviaShiba with 1K shares; the largest No position is Brummer with 604. Ten wallets hold 98% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 51.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 71.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SloviaShiba | Yes | 1K |
| Brummer | No | 603.99 |
| yoyobb2018 | No | 292.91 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by
| MaxEnt |
| No |
| 120 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 37.9 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 29.46 |
| Johnny-Worker | No | 20.85 |
| Slackjaw | No | 20 |
| Standard-Thunderhead | No | 20 |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | No | 15.26 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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