Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 45 points from 64.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78.5% on 28 Sep 2026 and the lowest 14% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 23%; a month before, 78.5%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 19.5% on 6 Oct 2026.
March 31, 2027 ranks second of the 3 outcomes in “Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?”. June 30, 2027 leads at 73.5%; December 31, 2026 is at 1.6%.
$6.31K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $339.61, with a 17.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 135 trades, $940.8 bought Yes and $635.69 bought No.
The largest Yes position is k1ngslayer with 166 shares; the largest No position is Brummer with 340. Ten wallets hold 81.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 64.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Brummer | No | 340 |
| Bold Comet 6E39 | No | 174.37 |
| MaxEnt | No | 170.09 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI, the developer of Kimi, completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by Moonshot AI to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Moonshot AI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kimi-moonshot-ai-ipo-by
| k1ngslayer |
| Yes |
| 166.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 158.26 |
| rocky42009 | Yes | 96.24 |
| lissartter | No | 93.57 |
| Azure Harbor 620B | Yes | 92.19 |
| Empty-Annual | Yes | 70 |
| youtube-trader | No | 60.84 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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