Question 1

What is the “Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 4, 2024. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris officially announces her withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by 11:59 PM ET on November 4, 2024. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Kamala Harris from continuing the race, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Kamala Harris does not announce her withdrawal or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race by the specified time, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Kamala Harris or…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($5.46M) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 71 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 91.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 6, 5:53 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-drop-out-before-election) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Q777	Yes	274.44K	6.5%	$274.44K
3t17	Yes	125.83K	3.3%	$125.83K

Trader	Current holding value
TBeLB	$10.14
aleberdni	$4.49
sfdturie	$1.34
kgdhieo	$1.28
Werer	$1.25
Beaterise	$1.13
emmanueldoingit	$1.06
metselder	$1.03
reppie	$1.02
Threaded	$1.01
Q777	$0
3t17	$0

Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?

Questions about this market