Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 469.26 | $0.335 | $86.81 | -$70.52 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 162.96 | $0.270 | $44 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.150 |
| $3 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETUp | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?Yes | buy | 8.04K | $0.005 | $44 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 154.41 | $0.370 | $57.13 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 151.89 | $0.370 | $56.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.007 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.003 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.016 | $33 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin June 24-30?No | buy | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires Bitcoin before July?Yes | buy | 138.93 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 66 | $0.620 | $40.92 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.56K | $0.012 | $42.7 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 312.5 | $0.130 | $40.63 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.500 | $33 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.160 | $50 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.64K | $0.022 | $300 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 151.54 | $0.078 | $11.82 | Oct 8, 2024 |
 Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?Yes | buy | 11.64 | $0.430 | $5 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 Ethereum above $2,500 on August 23?No | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 738.57 | $0.007 | $5.17 | Aug 11, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 15.66 | $0.330 | $5.17 | Aug 11, 2024 |
 US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?Yes | buy | 10.19 | $0.540 | $5.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.018 | $2.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?Yes | buy | 60.59 | $0.017 | $1.03 | Aug 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.791 | $1.04 | Aug 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.67 | $0.450 | $8.4 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?No | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.450 | $7.65 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Fed rate hike in 2024?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.936 | $1.07 | Aug 4, 2024 |
 Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?No | sell | 13.95 | $0.400 | $5.58 | Aug 4, 2024 |
| US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?No | buy | 12.96 | $0.470 | $6.09 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | sell | 10.52 | $0.550 | $5.79 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 80k before September?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 2, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.003 | $0.75 | Aug 2, 2024 |
| US inflation >0.1% from June to July 2024?No | buy | 53.33 | $0.450 | $24 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 10.53 | $0.570 | $6 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.877 | $1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 1, 2024 |