Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 224.47 | $0.200 | $44.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.29K |
| $0.035 |
| $44.89 |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.016 | $18.59 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 936.59 | $0.085 | $80 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.039 | $98.58 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 352.23 | $0.085 | $29.93 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 746.59 | $0.040 | $29.86 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.042 | $52.02 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 13K | $0.004 | $52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 2.01K | $0.040 | $80.29 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 13.38K | $0.006 | $80.28 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.5K | $0.007 | $157.49 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.61K | $0.034 | $157.14 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 890 | $0.022 | $19.58 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.5 | $0.019 | $0.47 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 256.52 | $0.019 | $5 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.022 | $55 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 843.21 | $0.028 | $23.61 | Sep 13, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 393.42 | $0.060 | $23.61 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 508.16 | $0.043 | $21.84 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 251.63 | $0.087 | $21.85 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | buy | 393.43 | $0.070 | $27.54 | Sep 9, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | sell | 159.68 | $0.235 | $37.54 | Sep 9, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 251.64 | $0.114 | $28.59 | Sep 4, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.090 | $27 | Sep 4, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead by 0-0.9 August 30?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.029 | $41.5 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump lead on August 30?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.016 | $63.67 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 300 | $0.160 | $48 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 805 | $0.073 | $58.76 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 20.08 | $0.620 | $12.45 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?Trump | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 195 | $0.069 | $13.46 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9.03 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 53.1 | $0.170 | $9.03 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 153.1 | $0.180 | $27.56 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 377.51 | $0.073 | $27.56 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 159.68 | $0.125 | $19.96 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 205 | $0.008 | $1.64 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.072 | $21.6 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.084 | $25.2 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Yes | sell | 165.2 | $0.090 | $14.87 | Aug 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 168.21 | $0.150 | $25.23 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Will Bernie Sanders speak at the DNC?No | buy | 177.77 | $0.078 | $13.87 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?No | sell | 346.63 | $0.040 | $13.87 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 146.79 | $0.160 | $23.49 | Aug 18, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?Yes | sell | 427 | $0.055 | $23.49 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Tampon" at his rally?No | buy | 39.96 | $0.300 | $11.99 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Will Bernie Sanders speak at the DNC?No | buy | 132.07 | $0.045 | $5.94 | Aug 17, 2024 |