Analytics
Resolved No on 18 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.3% on 22 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 272 daily closes on record from 22 Mar 2024 to 18 Dec 2024, the highest close was 25.3% on 25 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 15.8% on 3 Aug 2024. $20.17M traded over the market's life.
217 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 19, 5:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 272 points, 22 Mar 2024 – 18 Dec 2024, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2024 | 3.3% |
| 18 Dec 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.27M |
| Lucien | Yes | 145.93K |
| Onchain-Capital | Yes | 30.3K |
This is a market on the expected number of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts occurring within the current calendar year.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| JoeDoh | Yes | 19.82K |
| Believer | Yes | 16K |
| heuer | Yes | 12.62K |
| simone | Yes | 9.74K |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 7.55K |
| B.ViganoJr | Yes | 5.58K |
| Azure Oracle 45F0 | Yes | 5.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
