Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 7.2K | $0.880 | $7.15K | +$817.22 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: NC State (-30.5)Richmond | buy | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | 6h ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.6K |
| $0.908 |
| $3.49K |
| +$220.5 |
 Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 3.34K | $0.365 | $3.34K | +$2.12K |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 18K | $0.528 | $2.43K | -$7.07K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.8K | $0.660 | $1.54K | +$351 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 1.28K | $0.704 | $1.21K | +$306.4 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 1.02K | $0.123 | $965.07 | +$839.68 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 2.78K | $0.750 | $656.52 | -$1.42K |
 Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | 4.52K | $0.270 | $474.7 | -$744.5 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 445.74 | $0.656 | $414.76 | +$122.45 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 351.17 | $0.781 | $285.33 | +$11.2 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 1.8K | $0.330 | $261 | -$333 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.03K | $0.284 | $141.31 | -$436.6 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $96.85 | +$3.85 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 100 | $0.719 | $85.55 | +$13.65 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 100 | $0.767 | $75.95 | -$0.75 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 63.58 | $0.919 | $61.01 | +$2.58 |
 Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat? | Yes | 60 | $0.870 | $51.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50 | $0.930 | $49.23 | +$2.73 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 47 | $0.838 | $46.41 | +$7.02 |
 Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 41 | $0.890 | $40.73 | +$4.24 |
 Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? | No | 40 | $0.934 | $38.7 | +$1.34 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | 562.1 | $0.100 | $31.48 | -$24.97 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat? | No | 30 | $0.900 | $26.85 | -$0.15 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? | No | 30 | $0.850 | $25.35 | -$0.15 |
| buy |
| 0.86 |
| $0.740 |
| $0.64 |
| 7h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.783 | $23.49 | 17h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.740 | $3.8 | 17h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.720 | $21.6 | 17h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.210 | $6.3 | 23h ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.900 | $27 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.870 | $26.1 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.710 | $21.3 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?Yes | buy | 16.1 | $0.860 | $13.85 | 1d ago |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No | buy | 30 | $0.850 | $25.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.060 | $1.8 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.96 | $0.040 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | 4d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.889 | $88.9 | 6d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 57.1 | $0.070 | $4 | 9d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.880 | $88 | 11d ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | 12d ago |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | buy | 50 | $0.919 | $45.95 | 13d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 82 | $0.866 | $71.01 | 15d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 100 | $0.767 | $76.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | 17d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 50 | $0.768 | $38.4 | 18d ago |
| Will Greg Abbott be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | buy | 41 | $0.890 | $36.49 | 18d ago |
| Will Nikki Haley be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?No | buy | 40 | $0.934 | $37.36 | 20d ago |
 Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
| Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
| Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
| Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
| Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
| Byron Buxton: Home Runs O/U 0.5Over | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | 22d ago |
 Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Madison KeysMadison Keys | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | 22d ago |
 ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Chelsea Fontenel vs Katerina TsygourovaKaterina Tsygourova | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 22d ago |
 XRP Up or Down - August 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 22d ago |
 BNB Up or Down - August 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.445 | $4.45 | 25d ago |
 Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.750 | $18.75 | 25d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 34.77 | $0.786 | $27.33 | 26d ago |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.029 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.029 | $2.61 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.090 | $4.05 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.930 | $66.03 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.036 | $1.44 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.036 | $3.6 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.034 | $2.04 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 22.3 | $0.197 | $4.39 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.038 | $0.36 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.039 | $3.9 | Jul 10, 2026 |