Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 1.27 | $0.880 | $1.22 | +$0.1 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.890 | $1.38 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.33 |
| $0.920 |
| $1.22 |
| Dec 11, 2025 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.989 | $1.38 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.988 | $1.47 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?No | sell | 2.68 | $0.110 | $0.29 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.880 | $1.12 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.999 | $16.88 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.54 | $0.660 | $1.02 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 20,000,000 and 22,000,000?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Ryan Reynolds be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.995 | $1.12 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.580 | $0.89 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.970 | $1.36 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Ryan Reynolds be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No | sell | 1.26 | $0.594 | $0.75 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.870 | $1.1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.998 | $2.05 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 23.45 | $0.957 | $22.44 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.951 | $1.68 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Ap win the fourth most seats in the Norway election?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Sep 3, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?No | sell | 1.54 | $0.740 | $1.14 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.680 | $1.05 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.45 | $0.160 | $0.71 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in August?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.900 | $1.33 | Aug 12, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.820 | $1.15 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?No | sell | 2.05 | $0.900 | $1.85 | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.930 | $1.91 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.991 | $0.2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by August 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.950 | $4.76 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.358 | $1.1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.373 | $1.15 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.570 | $0.76 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.930 | $1.25 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.45 | $0.310 | $1.38 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the July meeting?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.977 | $1.28 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.972 | $1.1 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.810 | $1.44 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.970 | $1.47 | Jun 8, 2025 |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 0.88 | $0.995 | $0.88 | Jun 4, 2025 |
| Will UCR hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 2.93 | $0.996 | $2.92 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?No | sell | 0.69 | $0.890 | $0.61 | May 29, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?No | buy | 2.66 | $0.900 | $2.39 | May 29, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on May 30?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.900 | $1.91 | May 25, 2025 |
 Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.991 | $1.04 | May 20, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.45 | $0.931 | $0.42 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.909 | $0.4 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.914 | $1 | May 13, 2025 |
 Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.991 | $1.21 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.993 | $1.22 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will gainzy shave his shoulders by Friday?No | sell | 1.25 | $0.990 | $1.24 | May 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1500 on May 9?No | sell | 0.52 | $0.989 | $0.51 | May 7, 2025 |