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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10.4K | $0.727 | $8.79K | +$1.22K |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 556 | $0.992 | $551.55 | Jun 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.4K |
| $0.660 |
| $924 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 15K | $0.660 | $9.9K | Apr 20, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.15 | $0.996 | $6.13 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 10.87K | $0.996 | $10.83K | Apr 7, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.944 | $30.21 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 1K | $0.945 | $945 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 7.61K | $0.003 | $22.84 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 485.64 | $0.003 | $1.46 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 405 | $0.938 | $379.89 | Jan 13, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.998 | $1.38K | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 2.48K | $0.994 | $2.46K | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 2K | $0.992 | $1.98K | Jan 1, 2026 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 4.68K | $0.997 | $4.67K | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.620 | $1.24K | Dec 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.970 | $970 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.28K | $0.998 | $6.26K | Dec 5, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 9 | $0.870 | $7.83 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 38.5 | $0.949 | $36.55 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 1.56K | $0.013 | $20.24 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 443.24 | $0.001 | $0.44 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.953 | $1.43K | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.034 | $34.48 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 0.33 | $0.001 | $0 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1K | $0.987 | $987 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.951 | $47.55 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 827.25 | $0.951 | $786.71 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 5.32K | $0.963 | $5.12K | Sep 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 60.58 | $0.910 | $55.13 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.910 | $11 | Sep 17, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.022 | $11 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.033 | $50.79 | Sep 16, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.54K | $0.021 | $32.32 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.01K | $0.998 | $3K | Sep 15, 2025 |
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.998 | $1.54K | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Trump resign today?No | buy | 1.54K | $0.995 | $1.53K | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?No | buy | 201 | $0.988 | $198.59 | Aug 24, 2025 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | sell | 122.52 | $0.110 | $13.48 | Dec 5, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.120 | $1.5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.110 | $126.73 | Dec 4, 2024 |
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.936 | $0.23 | Dec 4, 2024 |
Will Girona FC win La Liga?Yes | sell | 290.86 | $0.002 | $0.58 | Dec 4, 2024 |
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.971 | $0.75 | Nov 18, 2024 |
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?Yes | sell | 349.17 | $0.920 | $321.24 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Maine US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.002 | $0.02 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Nebraska US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.996 | $996 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.21K | $0.997 | $1.21K | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 2.43K | $0.999 | $2.43K | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Colorado Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 590.96 | $0.996 | $588.6 | Nov 6, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 396.52 | $0.240 | $95.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |