Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | May 8, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 228.31 |
| $0.219 |
| $50 |
| May 8, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 151.52 | $0.330 | $50 | May 8, 2025 |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 257.73 | $0.194 | $50 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes | buy | 257.73 | $0.194 | $50 | May 6, 2025 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | May 6, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Jan 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.105 | $10.5 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 2.69 | $0.104 | $0.28 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Hagerty for Treasury Secretary?Yes | buy | 97.63 | $0.102 | $10 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | sell | 436.36 | $0.771 | $336.24 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.170 | $20.24 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 163.4 | $0.612 | $100 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 190.32 | $0.620 | $118 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.370 | $40 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Russia capture Siversk before December?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.420 | $50 | Oct 24, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk before December?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.130 | $20 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?Yes | buy | 137.94 | $0.362 | $50 | Oct 22, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?No | buy | 5K | $0.010 | $50 | Oct 18, 2024 |
 Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.280 | $100 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 2.25K | $0.010 | $22.96 | Sep 6, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.020 | $26.11 | Sep 6, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | Aug 31, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 223 | $0.450 | $100.35 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.008 | $0.8 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 500 | $0.150 | $75 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.041 | $41 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.280 | $22.4 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 101.96 | $0.510 | $52 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?No | buy | 100 | $0.260 | $26 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?No | buy | 12.94 | $0.250 | $3.24 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.014 | $14 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.022 | $22 | Jul 21, 2024 |
 Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.012 | $24 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.023 | $46 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.040 | $40 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.039 | $78 | Jul 21, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 820.51 | $0.039 | $32 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2.73K | $0.038 | $102.79 | Jul 18, 2024 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.035 | $70 | Jul 18, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 440 | $0.830 | $365.2 | Jul 18, 2024 |