Analytics
Yes is at 86.4%, up 74 points from 12% when the market opened on 5 Apr 2026.
Across the 185 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 86.4% on 25 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 1 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 77.1%; a month before, 76.8%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 31% on 20 Aug 2026.
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the favourite of the 22 outcomes in “Alaska Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 13%.
$2.76K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $222.19K since listing. The order book holds $55.95K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $65.78K bought Yes and $5.45K bought No; the largest was a $25.4K buy of Yes at 79.0¢.
The largest Yes position is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA with 32.4K shares; the largest No position is lomneivan with 46.4K. Ten wallets hold 73.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 11 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 185 points, 5 Apr 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2026 | 12.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 86.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lomneivan | No | 46.41K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.81K |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 32.45K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner
10 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| anoin123 | No | 8.01K |
| SAPolitcsSeer | Yes | 8K |
| scottilicious | Yes | 7.16K |
| fourtimes | Yes | 4K |
| Rr55 | Yes | 3.66K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 3.37K |
| Silver Comet 7A69 | No | 3.11K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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