Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2025.
The high was 50% on 14 Oct 2025 and the low 0.1% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 0.1%; a month ago, 0.2%. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.9% on 15 Oct 2025.
Lisa Murkowski ranks 12th of the 22 outcomes in “Alaska Governor Election Winner”. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads at 76.6%; Bernadette Wilson is at 21.5%.
$28.43K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $42.31K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 411 trades, $43.06 bought Yes and $10.66K bought No; the largest was a $1.09K buy of No at 99.8¢.
The largest Yes position is qwen4.1.fund with 5.6K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 30.4K. Ten wallets hold 79.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 20 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 15, 7:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 360 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 15 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 30.39K |
| qwen4.1.fund | Yes | 5.6K |
| planktonXD | Yes | 3.68K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner
10 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 2.6K |
| donthackme | Yes | 1.81K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.36K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 1.33K |
| kaxel78 | Yes | 1.29K |
| zerone777 | Yes | 1.13K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 1.12K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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