Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2025.
Across the 350 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 14 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 20.5% on 15 Oct 2025.
Nancy Dahlstrom ranks sixth of the 22 outcomes in “Alaska Governor Election Winner”. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads at 85.5%; Bernadette Wilson is at 13.5%.
$132.99K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $55.19K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $42.67 bought Yes and $5.23K bought No; the largest was a $1.15K buy of No at 95.0¢.
The largest Yes position is glm4.1.fund with 6.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 37.8K. Ten wallets hold 72.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 12 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 4:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 350 points, 14 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 37.81K |
| glm4.1.fund | Yes | 6.11K |
| Szatoshi | Yes | 4.14K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner
10 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| SPLPB |
| Yes |
| 3.1K |
| donthackme | Yes | 2.35K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.16K |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon | Yes | 1.82K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 1.77K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.65K |
| kaxel78 | Yes | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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