What is the “Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will happen before GTA VI?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($696.3K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 298 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 77.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Aug 2, 6:07 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-gpt-6-be-released) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Vultaxbeta

Delayed

Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-gpt-6-be-releasedUpdated Aug 2, 2026

politicsClosed

Scheduled close Jul 31, 2026pop-cultureall

Yes

50.0%

Observed Yes 50¢Observed No 50¢

24h Volume

$696.3K

Scheduled close

Jul 31, 2026

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Aug 2, 2026

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

50.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

298

Wallets

298

Top 10 share

77%

Yes / No shares

4.47K / 11.84K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

500

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Coral Tide 104A	buy	Yes	51.0%	1.96	Aug 1, 6:05 AM
Royal Vector 7A67	buy	No

What will happen before GTA VI?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What will happen before GTA VI?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jul 31, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($696.3K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 298 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 77.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.