Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2.94 | +$0.94 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 3.39 |
| $0.590 |
| $1.88 |
| -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 3.39 |
| $0.590 |
| $2 |
| 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | 19d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.420 | $1.42 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 21d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Claude go down 8-10 times in August?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $84 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 27d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 27d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.368 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.714 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.410 | $1.25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Steel" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 2.72 | $0.740 | $2.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?No | buy | 3.67 | $0.540 | $1.98 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.630 | $1.86 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.470 | $1.41 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 7.84 | $0.255 | $2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Tesla say "Cybertruck" during earnings call?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.690 | $2.03 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 22, 2026 |