Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 77% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2026 to 28 Jul 2026, the highest close was 77% on 26 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 73 points down, to 0.2% on 28 Jul 2026. $9.16K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 12:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 26 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | 77.0% |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cyfra | Yes | 1.63K |
| lakemichigan | Yes | 648.2 |
| Umaroth | Yes | 499.45 |
| yesworld28 | Yes | 412.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Michigan on July 27, 2026 (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/07/23/trump-michigan-economic-speech-gordie-howe-bridge-opening/91023769007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during remarks in Michigan scheduled for July 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to Michigan, scheduled for July 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-remarks-in-michigan-20260724162420350
| wagmiser | Yes | 142.26 |
| Centaurspencer | Yes | 56.43 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.92 |
| Basic-Amusement | Yes | 25.53 |
| Mozart2026 | Yes | 21.43 |
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