What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

32 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jun 14, 4:56 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-3-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the…

Market referencewill-google-gemini-score-at-least-40-on-the-frontiermath-benchmarkUpdated Jun 14, 2026 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Jun 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$35.0K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jun 13, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jun 14, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

95%

Yes / No shares

99.43 / 1.65K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

276

Wallets

146

Loaded notional

$6.72K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

117

Move

+15 pts

Range

44.5% - 95.5%

Feb 7, 12:00 AM UTC to Jun 13, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Tannerg	sell	Yes	99.9%	5.53	Jun 13, 4:42 AM UTC
doublejoker	sell	Yes

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

Tannerg

sell

Yes

99.9%

5.53

Jun 13, 4:42 AM UTC

doublejoker

sell

Yes

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Questions about this market

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Questions about this market