Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 13.08 | $0.380 | $6.59 | +$1.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.700 | $4.94 | 18h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.59 |
| $0.750 |
| $6.32 |
| +$1.38 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 6.04 | $0.820 | $5.45 | +$0.5 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10.45 | $0.470 | $5.38 | +$0.47 |
 Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | 5.71 | $0.870 | $5.28 | +$0.31 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9.61 | $0.510 | $5.04 | +$0.14 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 7.06 | $0.700 | $4.9 | -$0.04 |
 Databricks IPO before 2027? | No | 5.23 | $0.950 | $4.89 | -$0.08 |
 Will Trump say "Discord" in September? | No | 5.58 | $0.890 | $4.86 | -$0.11 |
 Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 6.25 | $0.790 | $3.85 | -$1.09 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? | Yes | 7.26 | $0.680 | $3.49 | -$1.45 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 95.8 | $0.050 | $0.81 | -$3.98 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | Yes | 9.25 | $0.530 | $0.03 | -$4.87 |
| sell |
| 54.14 |
| $0.805 |
| $43.57 |
| 22h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 11?Yes | buy | 54.14 | $0.070 | $3.79 | 1d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 11?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.720 | $5.14 | 1d ago |
| Will Trump say "Discord" in September?No | buy | 5.58 | $0.890 | $4.97 | 2d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?Yes | buy | 205.5 | $0.180 | $36.99 | 3d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 27.74 | $0.712 | $19.74 | 3d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 9?Yes | buy | 14.95 | $0.464 | $6.94 | 3d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.720 | $5.14 | 4d ago |
 Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | sell | 6.36 | $0.890 | $5.66 | 5d ago |
 Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne | buy | 8.45 | $0.580 | $4.9 | 5d ago |
 Will CDU win less than 20% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.690 | $4.91 | 5d ago |
| Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 6.37 | $0.774 | $4.93 | 5d ago |
 Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes | buy | 7.03 | $0.700 | $4.92 | 5d ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 4?Yes | buy | 91.43 | $0.960 | $87.79 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.820 | $4.95 | 9d ago |
 Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.980 | $4.97 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.001 | $0 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29?Yes | sell | 5.76 | $0.001 | $0.01 | 13d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.490 | $3.97 | 13d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | buy | 9.25 | $0.530 | $4.9 | 16d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 26?Yes | buy | 50.48 | $0.923 | $46.59 | 16d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 26?Yes | buy | 102.68 | $0.957 | $98.31 | 16d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 26?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.970 | $35.49 | 16d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 26?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.420 | $2.15 | 16d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 25?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.980 | $4.75 | 17d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 25?No | buy | 151.77 | $0.988 | $149.97 | 17d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 24?Yes | buy | 84.52 | $0.945 | $79.9 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on August 24?No | buy | 40.19 | $0.986 | $39.62 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 24?Yes | buy | 50.62 | $0.650 | $32.91 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 9.61 | $0.510 | $4.9 | 21d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 22?No | buy | 131.97 | $0.972 | $128.32 | 21d ago |
 US bank failure by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.970 | $4.97 | 21d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 19?Yes | buy | 70.3 | $0.939 | $65.98 | 24d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 15.67 | $0.885 | $13.87 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 18?Yes | buy | 14.07 | $0.820 | $11.54 | 25d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 17?Yes | buy | 39.96 | $0.749 | $29.94 | 26d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 16?No | sell | 24.88 | $0.881 | $21.93 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 16?No | buy | 24.89 | $0.962 | $23.93 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?Yes | buy | 50.6 | $0.750 | $37.94 | 27d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 15?No | buy | 115.61 | $0.981 | $113.42 | 28d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 0.33 | $0.967 | $0.32 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.965 | $1.55 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 2.34 | $0.960 | $2.25 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | sell | 0.79 | $0.950 | $0.75 | 29d ago |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.500 | $4.88 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.980 | $4.97 | 29d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 5.07 | $0.980 | $4.97 | 29d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.370 | $2.96 | Aug 13, 2026 |