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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 11K | $0.018 | $187.01 | -$5.62 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?No | buy | 103.77 | $0.090 | $9.34 | 24d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.2K |
| $0.111 |
| $26.4 |
| -$106.93 |
 Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes | 298 | $0.152 | $22.35 | -$23.12 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.080 | $16.5 | -$63.5 |
| sell |
| 121.77 |
| $0.134 |
| $16.32 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No | sell | 168.91 | $0.974 | $164.52 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 564.43 | $0.901 | $508.5 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.007 | $0.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?No | sell | 338.33 | $0.890 | $301.11 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 103.47 | $0.160 | $16.56 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 91.37 | $0.922 | $84.23 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETDown | buy | 10.67 | $0.090 | $0.96 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | sell | 10.55 | $0.920 | $9.71 | May 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 10.55 | $0.150 | $1.58 | May 30, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,500 on the final trading day of June 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.970 | $67.93 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No | buy | 61.5 | $0.022 | $1.34 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?No | sell | 10.46 | $0.961 | $10.05 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?No | buy | 10.46 | $0.110 | $1.15 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 124.91 | $0.004 | $0.45 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.64 | $0.002 | $0.03 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.002 | $0.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?Yes | sell | 75.09 | $0.004 | $0.3 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.005 | $0.91 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?Yes | sell | 52.52 | $0.003 | $0.14 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?No | buy | 902.69 | $0.980 | $885.09 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?No | buy | 56.28 | $0.978 | $55.06 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?No | sell | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?No | buy | 70 | $0.080 | $5.6 | May 12, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 102.62 | $0.540 | $55.41 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 106.07 | $0.130 | $13.81 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 207.9 | $0.050 | $10.38 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Yes | sell | 285 | $0.930 | $265.05 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.900 | $89.99 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?Yes | buy | 185 | $0.807 | $149.25 | May 11, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 102.62 | $0.360 | $36.94 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | May 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 65.65 | $0.310 | $20.35 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | May 9, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 105.56 | $0.001 | $0.11 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 55.63 | $0.696 | $38.73 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.910 | $27.3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 500 | $0.964 | $482 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?Yes | sell | 399.99 | $0.100 | $40 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.118 | $5.9 | May 7, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.4 | $0.160 | $9.34 | May 7, 2026 |