Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.6K | $0.500 | $5.01K | +$1.71K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 655.81 | $0.324 | $212.56 | 9h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 6.6K |
| $0.500 |
| $1.59K |
| -$1.71K |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | No | 1.42K | $0.655 | $1.06K | +$128.34 |
 Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 1.26K | $0.277 | $536.17 | +$186.81 |
 Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher? | No | 384 | $0.708 | $373.44 | +$101.74 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | No | 312.16 | $0.902 | $308.1 | +$26.64 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher? | No | 274.99 | $0.473 | $272.24 | +$142.05 |
| Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher? | No | 260.54 | $0.918 | $257.8 | +$18.52 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31? | No | 48.87 | $0.779 | $37.53 | -$0.56 |
 Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $9.83 | +$4.83 |
 Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 35.55 | $0.520 | $8.71 | -$9.78 |
 Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | No | 5.04 | $0.480 | $4.49 | +$2.07 |
| buy |
| 655.81 |
| $0.426 |
| $279.23 |
| 11h ago |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 503 | $0.330 | $165.99 | 1d ago |
 Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | sell | 63 | $0.003 | $0.18 | 2d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 63 | $0.048 | $3.03 | 2d ago |
| Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.480 | $2.42 | 2d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | sell | 392.76 | $0.691 | $271.52 | 4d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | sell | 72.32 | $0.006 | $0.44 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | sell | 160.63 | $0.002 | $0.32 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.002 | $0.28 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | sell | 87.6 | $0.003 | $0.29 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 133.57 | $0.150 | $20 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 29.6 | $0.160 | $4.73 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?No | buy | 58 | $0.043 | $2.49 | 4d ago |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 16.76 | $0.060 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?Yes | buy | 118 | $0.015 | $1.75 | 4d ago |
 Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 25 | $0.990 | $24.75 | 5d ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 3.34K | $0.645 | $2.16K | 6d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.166 | $181.92 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 1.79K | $0.383 | $683.58 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | buy | 152.23 | $0.989 | $150.57 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 506.1 | $0.496 | $251.13 | 6d ago |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.655 | $989.56 | 6d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.570 | $341.87 | 7d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.650 | $390 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 33.17 | $0.889 | $29.49 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 47.92 | $0.826 | $39.57 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 7?Yes | buy | 173.69 | $0.989 | $171.81 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 14?Yes | buy | 639.03 | $0.988 | $631.6 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51K | $0.870 | $1.32K | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.64K | $0.984 | $1.61K | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.953 | $1.18K | 7d ago |
| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | buy | 617.39 | $0.660 | $407.38 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.390 | $396.01 | 7d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 512.84 | $0.720 | $369.28 | 8d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 192.2 | $0.151 | $29.08 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | sell | 508.57 | $0.152 | $77.55 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.186 | $268.8 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No | buy | 700.77 | $0.090 | $63.07 | 8d ago |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 22 and 24 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.081 | $100 | 8d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?No | buy | 48.87 | $0.779 | $38.09 | 8d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.948 | $972.93 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?No | buy | 477.93 | $0.913 | $436.32 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | sell | 822.76 | $0.082 | $67.66 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?No | buy | 822.76 | $0.110 | $90.5 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No | sell | 543.27 | $0.425 | $230.97 | 9d ago |