Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.61K | $0.657 | $3.34K | +$967.11 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 152.73 | $0.550 | $84 | 20m ago |
|
| No |
| 2.95K |
| $0.661 |
| $2.4K |
| +$455 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.86K | $0.846 | $1.59K | +$16.74 |
 Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.04K | $0.520 | $798.08 | +$255.29 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 1.05K | $0.601 | $570.54 | -$59.08 |
 Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? | No | 2.99K | $0.309 | $523.66 | -$401.46 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 500 | $0.770 | $467.5 | +$82.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.390 | $465.32 | +$62.47 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 454.53 | $0.513 | $334.08 | +$100.97 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 3.76K | $0.321 | $284.11 | -$923.56 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.76K | $0.160 | $272.45 | -$9.07 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 1.05K | $0.440 | $235.97 | -$225.01 |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena) | No | 201.2 | $0.850 | $176.35 | +$5.33 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 247.9 | $0.496 | $85.52 | -$37.43 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | 93.63 | $0.639 | $66.48 | +$6.66 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | Anthropic | 56 | $0.800 | $53.96 | +$9.16 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.230 | $42.5 | -$72.5 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 98.95 | $0.399 | $36.61 | -$2.84 |
 Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.61 | $0.974 | $36.07 | -$0.56 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | Yes | 207.12 | $0.140 | $21.75 | -$7.25 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.660 | $7.4 | -$5.8 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 154.62 | $0.227 | $3.4 | -$31.71 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.63K | $0.007 | $1.32 | -$16.73 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.500 | $0.94 | -$1.56 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5 | $0.472 | $0.79 | -$1.57 |
| buy |
| 150 |
| $0.430 |
| $64.5 |
| 20m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 34 | $0.380 | $12.92 | 40m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | 48m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | 48m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.380 | $9.5 | 48m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 110.88 | $0.580 | $64.31 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.580 | $5.31 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.580 | $5.31 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.16 | $0.580 | $5.31 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.580 | $4.13 | 54m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.09 | $0.580 | $2.95 | 55m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 127.19 | $0.570 | $72.5 | 55m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 124.43 | $0.420 | $52.26 | 55m ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 20.48 | $0.400 | $8.19 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.640 | $12.8 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 6 | $0.650 | $3.9 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 150 | $0.660 | $99 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 116 | $0.662 | $76.83 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 152.14 | $0.700 | $106.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 150 | $0.670 | $100.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 170 | $0.420 | $71.4 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.650 | $110.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.650 | $19.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | sell | 29.23 | $0.425 | $12.42 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 9.13 | $0.720 | $6.57 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 8.8 | $0.270 | $2.38 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 47.98 | $0.270 | $12.95 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 48.67 | $0.720 | $35.04 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 130.68 | $0.770 | $100.62 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 150 | $0.780 | $117 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 44 | $0.770 | $33.88 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 43.35 | $0.240 | $10.4 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 181.71 | $0.404 | $73.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 99.39 | $0.771 | $76.63 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 65 | $0.570 | $37.05 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 65 | $0.452 | $29.35 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 11 | $0.510 | $5.61 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 150 | $0.550 | $82.5 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?Yes | buy | 132 | $0.650 | $85.8 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 15 | $0.650 | $9.75 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | sell | 14.15 | $0.360 | $5.09 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 155.05 | $0.619 | $96 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 117.78 | $0.580 | $68.31 | 1h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 54.04 | $0.510 | $27.56 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 52.53 | $0.480 | $25.21 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 153 | $0.500 | $76.5 | 2h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 153.19 | $0.470 | $72 | 2h ago |