- What is the “Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June?” market asking?
- It asks whether the following will happen: Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
- What do the Yes and No prices mean?
- At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
- When does this market close?
- Trading is scheduled to close on May 31, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
- How does this market resolve?
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Canadian government or its administration officially announces that Canada will lower, pause, delay, or remove any existing tariffs on the United States by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the United States will qualify. For example, the removal of a general tariff on all imports into Canada, or a tariff on specific U.S. states or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution. Item-specific tariff exemptions will qualify. Any action officially enacted…
- What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
- 24h volume ($23.26K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.