What is the “Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
Right now Yes trades at 70.3¢ and No at 29.6¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 70.3% for Yes and 29.6% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($5) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($2.25K) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$3.22K
No buy at 30.0%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Sep 29, 5:58 AM UTC
Vultax loaded 54 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 69.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 29, 5:58 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-arc-launch-a-token-by) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
