Analytics
Yes is at 82.5%, up 22 points from 60.5% when the market opened on 23 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 23 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 49.5% on 24 Oct 2026.
It is one of 13 markets under “Anthropic IPO by __?”.
$1.35K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $25.9K since listing. The order book holds $8.36K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 227 trades, $9.33K bought Yes and $3.58K bought No; the largest was a $1.21K buy of Yes at 92.6¢.
The largest Yes position is Pump with 3.9K shares; the largest No position is mewmew1 with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 71.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 26 Nov 2026, 30 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 11:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 23 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Oct 2026 | 60.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 82.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-by
1 more market, none above 0.1%.
| SuperTests |
| No |
| 1.55K |
| FTX2.0 | No | 1.32K |
| alanhutton | Yes | 1K |
| rocky42013 | No | 926.89 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 733.99 |
| balthazar | No | 701.83 |
| Legal-Knot-Neglect | Yes | 678 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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