Analytics
Yes is at 7.5%, down 43 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $3.75K, with a 9.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 7:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Grant Dawson defeats Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
6 more markets, none above 10.0%.
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