Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62.5%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 65.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 44% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 64% on 20 Oct 2026. $7.56K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 5:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 62.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| NetanKyeahoo | No | 1.44K |
| itsonlyamatteroftime | No | 792.68 |
| Vicious-Iceberg | No | 619.71 |
| Coral Quasar 9F95 | No | 249.65 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
| MakeAmericaBetAgain | No | 171.4 |
| Forecastication2 | No | 158 |
| 10scat | No | 130.9 |
| lopesss | No | 83.33 |
| heymom | No | 61.29 |
| Blessedbaste | No | 59.52 |
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