Analytics
Yes is at 61%, up 10 points from 50.5% when the market opened on 11 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 51%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 61% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)”.
$84.86 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.33K, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is roscoff with 85 shares; the largest No position is Neon Falcon 429B with 85.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 5:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| roscoff | Yes | 84.86 |
| Neon Falcon 429B | No | 84.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Grant Dawson and Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-gra-nur-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 26.5%.
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